Honestly, all 2021 rookie drafts begin here at pick No. 1.09) J. Williams RB DEN However, Williams situation in Denver isnt as bad as it seems. Things will have to break right for Kylin Hill in the NFL Draft process for him to return fantasy value in the short term, but he's proven his skill as a receiver out of the backfield, and he's adept at breaking tackles. Aaron: "The hype has died down a bit with Kenneth Gainwell, but at the 2.04, Im happy to gamble on his upside. Side note: If my hometown Patriots were to trade up in the first round to pick a quarterback, as our own Anthony Staggs predicts in his Mock Draft, choosing Lance to develop for a short time behind a veteran acquisition like Ryan Fitzpatrick is the stuff of dreams, or potentially nightmares for nearly anyone who didn't grow up in the New England area. I responded to one of your posts that was months ago today lol. He's also a talented route-runner with experience all over the offensive formation. Brandon: "I was really hoping Etienne would make it here, as I like his floor a little more than the undersized Smiths, but if he was two inches taller and 20 pounds heavier, hed be viewed as a cant-miss prospect. He has the accuracy and overall ability to be a multi-year NFL starter. 1.01) T. Lawrence QB JAX The Heisman winner is a big-time playmaker and has as much upside as anyone in this draft. Choosing weapons over protection, they selected JaMarr Chase and paired him with his former LSU QB in Joe Burrow. Javian Hawkins will compete with Qadree Ollison and Tony Brooks-James for snaps behind Mike Davis, and Hawkins's 20 targets and 127 receiving yards at Louisville in 2020 more than doubled his 2019 totals in both categories. While Gordon could share touches early on, the Broncos showed commitment when they traded ahead of the Miami Dolphins to get Williams. Terrace Marshall Jr., Amon-Ra St. Brown, Kadarius Toney and Tylan Wallace saw negligible change in their draft values between the two mocks. 3 was the easiest pick, but maybe it is this one. For just $0.83/month, get an ad-free experience and access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord Chat Community, If you can't subscribe, please consider turning off your adblocker for RotoBaller.com, Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App, The Favorite To Win Once Again At Las Vegas, Should Be A Contender At Las Vegas Once Again On Sunday, Looking To Continue RCR Momentum At Las Vegas, Looking For Another Win At Las Vegas, Starts 11th on Sunday, Bubba Wallace Might Have Something To Show Sunday, Not Feeling Well Enough To Start Saturday, Struggles With Chevy On Saturday At Vegas, A.J. I film every single fantasy draft, including this one. 3.10) J. Hawkins RB ATL Press J to jump to the feed. The Curious Case of Javonte Williams: People are understandably concerned when a talented runner like Javonte Williams joins a team with an iffy offensive line and an established running back (Melvin Gordon). Javonte Williams exponentially increased his production over his three-year college career at North Carolina, and while the receiving accolades are mostly directed at his teammate Michael Carter, Williams displayed his utility as a receiver out of the backfield in 2020. Terrace Marshall Jr. is a great pick here by Casey and represents a slight tier break at the wide receiver position, according to George Kritikos's rookie rankings. The statistics above tell us that elite TEs give fantasy managers more yearly consistency and a bigger weekly advantage than an elite WR will. Huseyin "The Brain" is the CEO/co-founder of Fantasy Couch and also host of the popular YouTube show "The Couch". The knocks against him include his size (5-foot-10, 205 pounds) and his reduced rushing totals in 2020, but the upside of his all-around skillset and big-play potential outweigh the minor flaws in his prospect profile. Scraping the Bottom of the QB Barrel: Ian Book is currently being drafted in the fourth round of Superflex drafts, but the truth is he holds very little fantasy value. He started writing for 4for4 before the 2019 season, and he's primarily focused on best-ball, redraft, and dynasty fantasy leagues. Brevin Jordan is George's TE3 in this class, but at the bottom of a tier below several receivers on the board. He was an anti-sports punk-rock-listening skateboarding nerd until he left his hometown in 1995, and then took a hard left turn into sports fandom borne from a need to represent his home state after moving to New York. But how will the team fair around him? He is also one of the 2021 dynasty rookies with the widest variance of outcomes, but I am confident he can make it work in the NFL. My RBs are not bad (CEH, Dobbins, Hunt, Drake), my defenses are amazing (PIT & SF), my TE could work out (Goedert), but I need major upgrades at QB and WR; two very important positions in this league. 2 overall selection in the NFL Draft at his pro day. Elijah Moore was one of the clearest beneficiaries of the NFL Draft outcome, rising 17 spots from the 3.06 to the 2.01. Brown and new free-Agent arrival Josh Reynolds (Chester Rogers, Cameron Batson, Nick Westbrook-Ikhine, Marcus Johnson and Cody Hollister do not represent an impregnable wall for a rookie to climb over). Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts, https://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp/rookie/12-team/all/2021. If you can afford to stash Smith-Marsette on your bench or in your TAXI for two or three years, he should far outperform his current undrafted ADP. Its 6 points per pass TD and also full-PPR scoring. We've already covered what a rookie draft might look like for those in non-Superflex leagues - check out that article right here. Rookie ADP is the Average Draft Position for players in fantasy football rookie drafts. Hes the type of dynamic athlete who typifies todays NFL and should become a big-play threat and movable chess piece for an NFL offense that will lead to solid fantasy stats.". Rashod Bateman dropping out of the first round is an understandable development given his NFL home with the Ravens, a team that was dead last in passing rate in 2021. The good news, though, is that all is not lost. Up to this point, this 2021 Superflex rookie mock draft has followed my rookie rankings. He's a worthy target here. This pick was made because the timer ran out while I was asleep. 1.12) J. Waddle WR MIA, Round 2 The former Wake Forest passer may not ever become anything, but his game film indicates he is more mobile and has a better arm than Book. Hubbard outrushed every running back in the country in 2019 with 2,094 rushing yards on an impressive 6.4 yards per attemptit's not hard to see the upside here. Hills lack of explosiveness is a reason his fantasy stock will see him in this range, but there is use for a north-south runner with exceptional ball security.". If your team has a glaring hole at quarterback, you draft Trevor LawrenceSomeone who has a first-round ADP in Superflex Startup drafts. He is a big-bodied wideout with great athleticism and field-stretching ability. Choosing weapons over protection, they selected. Managers in this format can get desperate for QB depth, and that desperation will force reserve passers with no immediate fantasy value (Kyle Trask and Kellen Mond) ahead of position players who have a much clearer path to fantasy relevance. That, combined with a likely first-round NFL Draft selection, will be more than enough to justify his selection here.". Those playing in Superflex leagues should have a much more exciting experience with this 2021 class. I have the 1.02 pick in this 5-round rookie draft. Sam Wallace and I are in a pitched battle for dynasty supremacy in our Dynasty Draft-Off.We each get six teams, and it's brutal trying to grab values in all of them with Sam vacuuming up good players in between all of my picks. We have assembled a group of our. Paul: I have him as my QB1 on the board ahead of Lawrence. 4.11) S. Ehlinger QB IND The only concern is James Robinson. What helps to push Lance over Fields is the stability on the team. 2.03) E. Moore WR NYJ Although now that I think about it, maybe thats a good thing? I figured Pat may have been pinching himself at the reality of having Bateman available at the 1.11, and I was not wrong. MyFantasyLeague.com, Dynasty League Football, Copyright 2010- FantasyPros.com Kyler Murray Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, CeeDee Lamb Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, Javonte Williams Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, Aaron Jones Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings, AJ Dillon Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections, and Rankings. My team is playing for the future as I dont think Im going to win this year, but plan to make a run for the championship no later than 2023. 3.11) K. Mond QB MIN Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App Pat: "Amazing how good the first round is this year, isnt it? Waddle is my pre-draft WR2 in the 2021 classhe is a sharp route runner and has great athleticism to round out his game.". Brandon's take reflects my own quite well; Larry Rountree may end up on the tail end of a running back depth chart and will need to clearly outwork and outperform the players ahead of him in practice to have a shot at fantasy relevancy. We will still get Pro Day timings and measurements for these players, our confidence grows that the dim glow ahead of us may actually be the light at the end of the tunnel of this pandemic, and you're reading an article about dynasty fantasy football. 4for4 Staff. Shawn Siegele profiles three intriguing 2023 rookie prospects who could emerge as league-winning selections for drafters who don't have an early first-round pick. The average value of their draft position is taken over a range of many drafts. 5.12) J. Patterson RB WSH. Baltimore would need to undergo a massive and unlikelyshift in this area for Bateman to see the kind of target volume that's projected for the dynasty rookie wide receivers now being drafted ahead of him. His upside screams playmaker like Patrick Mahomes. It's hard to separate Kyle Trask's production from his excellent supporting cast, but one of the benefits of being taken outside of the first round of the NFL Draft is the chance to be drafted by a team that will actually surround him with an excellent supporting cast. Sure, they might allow 35 points every week, but they can score 49 just as quickly. 5.08) I. You literally can not go wrong. At the end of the second round with the safety of Jaylen Waddle on his mock roster, Matt shoots for the moon here. I like him more than any other receiver in this class with the exception of Ja'Marr Chase.". Preferably a site that will let you go back a few years. Top-12 rookies will be 1st round picks. Watch the video above or check out the written draft results below (it is a linear-rookie draft). I might go so far so to say he might be the best fourth-round target in this draft. Ah yes, Seth Williams. Fields QB CHI 3.05) R. Stevenson RB NE Data from 31 fantasy football mock drafts between December 3, 2022 and January 13, 2023. In a draft full of talented receivers who weigh less than 200 pounds, Wallace is one of my favorite welterweights.". Chase came into the NFL Draft the WR1 and exits in the same position. That kind of edge is worth remembering when an elite WR prospect (JaMarr Chase) and an elite TE prospect (Kyle Pitts) are both available when you pick. Trevor Lawrence's production profile makes him as good a bet as we've seen since Andrew Luck for immediate elite production. It isn't strictly a 2QB league, as you can substitute any offensive skill position for the superflex spot, but that would be suboptimal for your team and is only an emergency measure. Neither Newman nor Book are likely to become anything, but Newman is the better player, and his path to starts is just as good as the Notre Dame grad. Collins went from the final pick of the pre-NFL Draft mock to the ninth pick of the third round after the draft. A couple of months have passed since I recapped a pre-NFL Draft Superflex dynasty rookie mock draft. Kenneth Gainwell is the fourth running back taken in this draft, and while George has both Michael Carter and Chuba Hubbard ranked higher, I can see Aaron's reasoning with this selection. If you're shooting for the moon in this round, it may as well be at the position with both scarcity and value. 3.07) J. Palmer WR LAC Etienne will be the lead back for the Jaguars and the primary passing option vaulting him to the RB2 in this 2021 dynasty rookie mock draft. It's looking more and more like the first three picks in the 2021 NFL will be quarterbacks. Ultimately for me, Lance slots in ahead of Wilson as the QB3 for fantasy due to his dual-threat Konami-code upside. How could you go wrong with Najee Harris or Lance/Fields? All Harris did in 2019 was command the majority of Alabama's rushing attempts and explode for 1,224 yards and 20 touchdowns. If you are in the third slot, all you do is select whichever QB falls to you in your 2021 dynasty rookie mock drafts. Jones has a massive chip on his shoulder after hearing for the last month-plus he would be the No. 2021 Rookie Average Draft Position (ADP) 2021 Rankings: Consensus of 2 Sources Pick Sources What is Rookie ADP? Here is where draft order and the format making its presence felt. That is the approximate order they will come off the board, just understand that rookie QBs will have slightly more value. Matt: "This is tremendous value for the sticky-handed speedster out of Alabama. Travis Etienne did not move from his March draft spot to his May draft spot, which speaks to both how highly he has been regarded throughout this rookie evaluation process as well as dynasty drafters' comfort with his landing spot in Jacksonville. If not for Superflex, he is the clear and easy 1.01 selection. There sure are a lot of 5-foot-9/5-foot-10 WR/RB tanks in this draft classany of whom could transcend their size limitations in the right situation. Matt: "I am shocked to see Collins fall to me with the last pick of this mock draft. NFL rumors and mock drafts gave us some idea about where in the draft these prospects were likely to be selected. Dynasty Rookie Average Draft Position (2022), 12 teams All Players Tweet graph Embed graph Data from 31 fantasy football mock drafts between December 3, 2022 and January 13, 2023. Patterson is a powerful and tenacious runner between the tackles and led the MAC in rushing in 2019 and 2020. Rookie ADP is the Average Draft Position for players in fantasy. Selecting him at 4.09 might be my best choice in this draft. Brandon: "Hubbard looks like he has starter potential, but might be very landing spot-dependent based on his profile of an elite complementary back, catching the ball out of the backfield and trying to get the ball in space. Most Popular . Jacksonville still doesn't appear to have an answer at either tackle spot, though, and Lawrence's receiving corps in Jacksonville isn't as deep as Lance's in San Francisco. He is by far the most valuable running back of all 2021 dynasty rookies. Showing out at the Senior Bowl certainly won't hurt Amari Rodgers's NFL Draft stock, and a role as a slot receiver with tremendous yards-after-the-catch skills could easily return value here. However, he lands on a team with a massive need at wide receiver and will be a fantasy contributor from Week 1. Allmendinger Has Work To Do Sunday At Vegas. His ability to run after the catch might be one of his best attributes and Chase is a no-brainer for me as the top wideout in this class.". This is likely as much of an indicator of how thoroughly the draft muddied the waters for mid-range running back values than as it is a vote of confidence in the landing spots for the receivers. This is the easiest pick of the entire draft. 3 was the easiest pick, but maybe it is this one. Najee Harris stepped into an Alabama backfield as a freshman in 2018 behind Damien Harris and Josh Jacobs, yet still managed to command 121 wildly-efficient touches. His speed, agility and breakout age of 18.9 makes him a good candidate to rise up the depth chart quickly. It serves as a useful draft prep tool for understanding how players are valued. I suspect having Rice as his last name may have snuck him past Sleeper's sensors. Quarterback Davis Mills joined a Houston Texans team with a giant void of unknown at quarterback given Deshaun Watson's legal troubles. 2.11) P. Freiermuth TE PIT Urban Meyer pairs him with his former QB in Lawrence, and Etienne should fit in perfectly in the system Meyer wants to run in Jacksonville. Elijah Moore is another slot-receiver-plus who should test extremely well in what would normally have been NFL Combine drills that will now take place at Ole Miss' Pro Day. Lance going third overall to San Francisco was a dream scenario for him. Hes a big, fast touchdown machine who produced despite playing second and third fiddle to Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase the last few years. That being said, Gordon is a free Agent in 2022, and it's hard to find the 2021 running back prospect that should leap ahead of Williams for that RB3 overall spot. Rookie ADP is the Average Draft Position for players in fantasy football rookie drafts. 3.01. Trey Sermon's an ideal late target as a running back who won't test well in the speed department. Thanks again for the response. Participants for this mock: George Kritikos, Salvatore Stefanile, Chris Allen, Brandon Niles, Justin Edwards, and myself representing 4for4, plus dynasty analysts/friends/brethren Pat Fitzmaurice, Matt Hicks, Aaron Schill, Danny Mackey, Paul Williams and Casey McGrath.